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Support and resistance levels form a trading range - a horizontal corridor that contains price fluctuations during a period of time. A price movement through the identified level of resistance is referred to as breakout. Its bearish counterpart is called breakdown - a price movement through the identified level of support. Both breakout and breakdown are usually followed by increase in volatility.
To identify support and resistance you can simply mark the levels where the price had difficulty rising above and falling below in the past. Various technical indicators i. Fibonacci or Pivot Points can determine and draw the levels on the chart automatically.
Chart patterns Chart pattern is a distinct formation that predicts future price movement or creates a buy or sell signal. The theory behind it is basedon the assumption that certain patterns observed previously indicate where the price is currently headed. Head and Shoulders is considered to be one of the most reliable chart patterns which signifies that the trend is about to change.
There are two types of this pattern - head and shoulders top that shows that upward movement may soon end and head and shoulders bottom, which means that downtrend is about to reverse. Doji — is a candle with a short body which means that the candle opened and closed at almost the same price and relatively long wicks on each side that show market volatility during a period of time. Doji usually signifies market indecision since neither bullish nor bearish trend prevails.
Bullish hammer - a candle that usually occurs at a turn of the downtrend. This candle must have wicks twice as long as the body. Hanging man - bearish counterpart of bullish hammer that has a shorter body and long wicks and is usually found at the before the reversal of the uptrend. Another popular chart pattern is the triangle. There are three types of triangles: symmetrical, ascending and descending.
The symmetrical triangle is a pattern where two trend lines that meet at one point and neither of them is flat. This pattern usually confirms the direction of the current trend. In an ascending triangle, the upper trendline is flat and the lower one is headed upwards.
This pattern is considered to be bullish and may predict a breakout. Descending triangle has a flat lower line and the upper trendline is descending. Descending triangle is a bearish pattern signifying an upcoming breakdown.
Indicators One of the tools that allows to predict or confirm trends, patterns, support and resistance levels or buy and sell signals is a technical indicator. It is a software developed specifically for your trading platform that makes calculations based on price movements and volatility.
Both cTrader and MT4 have a wide range of readily available indicators, however you can always download a custom one or even create it yourself. Simply adding an indicator to a price chart may greatly extend your understanding of the current market situation and help to decide in which direction you should be trading.
For instance, to identify support and resistance levels, such indicators as Fibonacci or Pivot Points may come in handy. Today the field of technical analysis builds on Dow's work. Professional analysts typically accept three general assumptions for the discipline: The market discounts everything: Technical analysts believe that everything from a company's fundamentals to broad market factors to market psychology is already priced into the stock.
This point of view is congruent with the Efficient Markets Hypothesis EMH which assumes a similar conclusion about prices. The only thing remaining is the analysis of price movements, which technical analysts view as the product of supply and demand for a particular stock in the market.
Price moves in trends: Technical analysts expect that prices, even in random market movements, will exhibit trends regardless of the time frame being observed. In other words, a stock price is more likely to continue a past trend than move erratically. Most technical trading strategies are based on this assumption. History tends to repeat itself: Technical analysts believe that history tends to repeat itself. The repetitive nature of price movements is often attributed to market psychology, which tends to be very predictable based on emotions like fear or excitement.
Technical analysis uses chart patterns to analyze these emotions and subsequent market movements to understand trends. While many forms of technical analysis have been used for more than years, they are still believed to be relevant because they illustrate patterns in price movements that often repeat themselves. Technical Analysis vs. Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis and technical analysis, the major schools of thought when it comes to approaching the markets, are at opposite ends of the spectrum.
Both methods are used for researching and forecasting future trends in stock prices, and like any investment strategy or philosophy, both have their advocates and adversaries. Fundamental analysis is a method of evaluating securities by attempting to measure the intrinsic value of a stock.
Fundamental analysts study everything from the overall economy and industry conditions to the financial condition and management of companies. Earnings , expenses , assets, and liabilities are all important characteristics to fundamental analysts.
Technical analysis differs from fundamental analysis in that the stock's price and volume are the only inputs. The core assumption is that all known fundamentals are factored into price; thus, there is no need to pay close attention to them. Technical analysts do not attempt to measure a security's intrinsic value, but instead, use stock charts to identify patterns and trends that suggest what a stock will do in the future. Limitations of Technical Analysis Some analysts and academic researchers expect that the EMH demonstrates why they shouldn't expect any actionable information to be contained in historical pric e and volume data; however, by the same reasoning, neither should business fundamentals provide any actionable information.
These points of view are known as the weak form and semi-strong form of the EMH. Another criticism of technical analysis is that history does not repeat itself exactly, so price pattern study is of dubious importance and can be ignored. Prices seem to be better modeled by assuming a random walk. A third criticism of technical analysis is that it works in some cases but only because it constitutes a self-fulfilling prophecy.
For example, many technical traders will place a stop-loss order below the day moving average of a certain company. If a large number of traders have done so and the stock reaches this price, there will be a large number of sell orders, which will push the stock down, confirming the movement traders anticipated.
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