- 9 лет ago
- Published в: Last winner ethereum
- 3
- Автор: Kicage
Get DailyForex analysis to your email Subscribe Get DailyForex analysis to your email Enter your email Sign Up We commit to never sharing or selling your personal information Get the Forex Forecast using fundamentals, sentiment, and technical positions analyses for major pairs for the week of June 20, here. So, when starting the week, it is a good idea to look at the big picture of what is developing in the market as a whole, and how such developments and affected by macro fundamentals , technical factors, and market sentiment.
Read on to get my weekly analysis below. This produced a gain of 0. This produced a gain of 1. This produced a whopping gain of These were great calls overall, especially my short Bitcoin forecast, resulting in a huge weekly profit. After more than four months, the war in Ukraine has faded away from its former place as a lead news item.
Russian forces are currently conducting a strong offensive in eastern Ukraine and are having some success through massive firepower and a willingness to use artillery regardless of civilian casualties, which are numbering tens of thousands. As a permanent member of the UN Security Council, Russia cannot be diplomatically censured, showing what the United Nations has become, and putting its twisted focus on smaller conflicts with far lower civilian death tolls into sharp focus for all to see.
The war initially caused quite strong movements in some markets, especially in certain agricultural commodities such as Wheat and Corn , but now seems to be having little effect as agricultural commodities have generally begun to trade lower.
Last week was dominated by continuing risk-off sentiment, with a focus on inflation and rate hikes, as three major central banks raised their interest rates, broadly by more than had been expected: the US Federal Reserve , the Bank of England, and the Swiss National Bank.
Several cryptocurrency exchanges have frozen withdrawals. Short trades in cryptocurrencies will continue to attract speculators in this environment, while margin calls will force retail liquidations. There will be more casualties in the cryptocurrency ecosystem. This higher-than-expected inflation print at the end of the previous week convinced the Fed to hike by more than 0. The Swiss National Bank made a shock rate hike of 0.
The Bank of Japan left its Policy Rate at We expect further dollar strength against the euro and the yen through , where the ECB and the BoJ have a much stronger case to keep policy loose. We see the Fed cycle as being prone to being re-priced higher and gentle dollar strength as a constant theme for Speaking of the Japanese yen, they remain bearish on the currency, while they see the Australian dollar benefitting from being undervalued and oversold, although they warned that this could be a risky trade.
In line with the other banks, they expect the euro and the yen to underperform. Interestingly, they also believe that the Canadian dollar could weaken in the coming year. A recalibration will leave the CAD out of favour with investors. The easing of supply chains could push global inflation lower, improving the mood.
Covid will likely pop up during the year but extend its retreat. Rising geopolitical tensions could counter dollar selling. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing. And never invest or trade money you cannot afford to lose. FAQs How to predict the forex market? It is impossible to predict exactly what the forex market will do. However, it is possible to use tools, such as fundamental or technical analysis to build an idea of how a currency pair might react to particular news or data, or how the pair could respond to certain price levels in the market.
Which forex pair is the most volatile? More broadly speaking, commodities-backed currencies tend to be volatile.
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